Could Alistair Brownlee be World Champion in his debut? We analyze your options

The 2019 has been the year in which the British Alistair Brownlee He has won the victory in all the distances in which he has participated.

The Sprint distance in the Copa del Clagliari World, in olympic triathlonor where the title of European Champion, In the middle distance in the IM 70.3 Dun Laoghaire and in the IRONMAN Ireland where he climbed to the top of the podium in his debut this distance.

In the IM Ireland marathon, he traced 17 minutes from T2 to get the victory.

The British who did not rule out at the beginning of the season to go to the Tokyo Olympics, has focused the end of the season on his participation in Kona.

What do you think? will he win his debut in Kona?

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The analysis of the options you have in Kona.

The first thing to keep in mind is that only 3 triathletes have achieved victory in their first participation in the IRONMAN of Hawaii (Gordon Haller in the 1978 first edition, Dave Scott in 1980 and Luc Van Lierde in 1996)

In addition, statistics tell us that the champion has climbed on the podium the previous year or has Kona won in the 3 in recent years.

This is the year of his distance debut, and in a race as special and tough as Hawaii is, experience is a degree Very important to keep in mind.

It is true that Alistair arrives in a great way and has achieved victory in the Ho´ala crossing winning the winner of the last two editions Josh Amberger.

Everyone knows that it is a dvery complete eportist, a great swimmer, a good cyclist, where he has accustomed us to make attacks and solo getaways and a solid runner.

His data in the IRONMAN Wales, test where swimming was cut, were the following:

• Cycling 180 km: 4: 54: 46 (average of 36,7 km / h)
• 42 km: 2: 51: 31 (4 average: 04 min / km)

The debut of the best in Kona

The reigning world champion German Patrick Lange debuted in Kona in 2016, being third in goal with a time of 8: 11: 14

Jan Frodeno, winner in 2016 and 2015, debuted in Kona the previous year in 2014 being also third with 8: 20: 32

Sebastian Kienle world champion in 2014 debuted in Kona in the 2012 year achieving the 4ª square with a time of 8: 27: 08

Lionel Sanders debuted in Kona in 2015 with a time of 8: 36: 26 and finished in the 14 position

David McNamee  He made his Kona debut at 2015 where he finished in the 11 position with 8: 32: 27

Javier Gómez Noya debuted in the test at 2018 and was 11º with a time of 8: 11: 41

With all this data, it would be difficult to see him at the top of the test, but knowing the British we could expect anything from him.